In terms of literal peak value - who was the absolute best in their very best season? - Brady also has that covered. Highest average of career QB value over replacement* and peak value (in best seven seasons) for NFL quarterbacks, 1966-2020 Brady also comes out as the best ever in that regard - since his peak value was only marginally behind Manning’s tally from their respective top seven seasons: Brady has had the best mix of career and peak value Speaking of adjusting for the dreaded “compilers,” let’s say we want to modify each QB’s total career value by mixing in his peak performance as well, in the manner of baseball’s JAWS metric (which averages together a player’s career value with the total from his best seven seasons). In other words, Brady hasn’t been a mere Super Bowl “ compiler,” even though he might also be the only player in history you could even accuse of being such a thing. But in addition to the career record, Brady owns the seventh-best title-game performance ever - for his eye-popping numbers in Super Bowl XXXVIII - and three of the 11 best ever. A few others on the list - namely Montana, Terry Bradshaw and Kurt Warner - have had better per-game or per-play Super Bowl performances than Brady after we adjust for schedule and era. Some of that owes to sheer volume, since Brady has started a record 10 (ten!) Super Bowls, spanning 20 seasons. Value is based on our QB Elo metric, which represents yards above replacement level. *Stats are adjusted for strength of schedule and era (translated to the 2016-20 NFL passing environment). Most career QB value over replacement in Super Bowls, 1966-2020 Among all-time QBs in the big game’s history, nobody has produced more value over replacement in a Super Bowl career than Brady: Brady is the all-time Super Bowl passing MVP As part of that second leaderboard, he is the king of Super Bowls in particular. Includes playoffs unless otherwise indicated.Īnd we’re just scratching the surface of the entire scope of Brady’s GOAT stats. Most career QB value over replacement* for quarterbacks in the Super Bowl era (1966-2020), overall and in playoffs only All Games He’s also the career playoff leader, topping Montana: Brady is the best, no matter the stage For instance, he is the Super Bowl-era career leader in total QB value over replacement (based on our QB Elo value metric, representing the number of yards a QB generated relative to an undrafted backup), 1 beating Manning and Drew Brees. All we can do now is rattle off the many different dimensions by which Brady is, in fact, the best ever. Those six seasons alone would be better than almost any other quarterback’s entire career, but for Brady they represent less than a third of his total resume.Īs the NFL’s all-time leader in QB wins, touchdown passes, championships won and Super Bowl MVPs, Brady has long since erased any doubt that he is the greatest in history at football’s most important position. All Brady has done since then is throw for 31,050 more yards and 219 more touchdowns, and win 83 more games - 70 in the regular season and 13 in the playoffs - along the way to three more titles and two more Super Bowl MVPs … including both of the last two in Sunday’s victory by his Tampa Bay Buccaneers over the Kansas City Chiefs. Ultimately, we concluded that he was, at worst, the QB co- GOAT alongside Peyton Manning (in the regular season) and Joe Montana (in the playoffs). After Tom Brady and the New England Patriots beat the Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl XLIX, we examined Brady’s place in the pantheon of all-time quarterbacks.
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